2028 candidate · Democratic Party
Gavin Newsom
Governor of California
Gavin Newsom
Governor of California
19
26%Polymarket
19%Polls
$4MCash
—Parley
Strategic read
Parley's read on this candidate, sourced from the public record.
Leading the field; banked ~$4M in leadership PAC; viewed by Dem operatives as 'the guy to beat'
Where these numbers come from
Each number above sources to a single, verifiable feed. No editorial guesswork, no endorsement aggregation.
- Polymarket — live prediction-market implied probability for the nomination
- Polls — RealClearPolling primary average
- Cash — FEC-reported campaign + leadership PAC cash on hand, in $M
- Parley — voter-signal score from the values quiz (live when backend ships)
Last refreshed: April 25, 2026.
Inclusion on this page is descriptive, not an endorsement. Parley remains non-partisan.